14/09/2026
Deportivo Alavés host Valencia in LaLiga on Monday evening, and CheckLive makes the home side the favourite with a model signal strength of 80%, described as high. That is a read on the shape of the two teams, not a guarantee: Valencia have the away dressing room and a point out of this kind of fixture would not be a shock, with the draw a genuine third outcome.
Alavés have four matches logged before kickoff, three won and one drawn: 5-2 at home to Osasuna on 6 September, 1-0 at home to Villarreal on 28 August, 1-1 away at Rayo Vallecano on 20 August and 3-0 at home to Getafe on 15 August. Valencia's four read rather differently — 0-5 at home to Barcelona on 6 September, 3-1 away at Deportivo La Coruña on 30 August, 0-1 at home to Real Betis on 25 August and a goalless home draw with Celta Vigo on 22 August. That is one goal scored and nine conceded in that sample.
The last eight meetings supplied give Alavés four wins, two draws and two defeats, including a 0-0 in Vitoria in October 2025 and a 3-2 Valencia win at Mestalla in March 2026. Several of those games were settled by a single goal, which is the thing to watch: Alavés have scored freely at home in this sample, while Valencia's one clean sheet in their recent four came in a match without a goal at either end.
FINAL VERDICT: Deportivo Alavés win
Confidence Level: 80%
