03/12/2026
Iran War Update
We are now on day seven of this conflict.
As you may know, the Iran war began on 28 February, when the United States and Israel launched a joint military operation against Iran, targeting top government officials and military sites.
Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed on the first day of the war. This created a leadership vacuum at the worst possible time. Trump hoped that the death of the Supreme Leader would inspire the people of Iran to rise against their government. However, this has not happened. The Iranian government remains in power. An interim council is currently running the country while the leadership decides who will succeed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as the next Supreme Leader.
American and Israeli airstrikes continue across Iran. Military targets have been hit, and some civilian places such as hospitals and markets have also been damaged. Iran says more than 1 000 of its citizens have died, and thousands more have been injured.
The United States has also suffered losses. Several American soldiers have reportedly been killed in drone attacks as Iran fights back, targeting American embassies, military bases, and other sites in the region.
The water space between Iran and Oman (Strait of Hormuz), remains heavily disrupted. This is the route used by oil tankers leaving the oil countries (Gulf states). Iran is stopping the smooth flow of oil through this area, and many tankers are no longer passing through. This significantly affects global oil supply because gulf countries are basically the gas station of the world.
Oil prices have now risen to over eighty dollars per barrel. When oil prices rise, fuel, food, and transport all become more expensive. Poor countries that depend on imported oil suffer the most.
Meanwhile, an armed group called Hezbollah continues firing rockets into northern Israel. Hezbollah is trained and funded by Iran. What makes the situation even more complicated is that Hezbollah functions as a political party in Lebanon. So Israel has responded by bombing targets inside Lebanon. The army of Israel has even sent ground forces into Lebanon and taken control of several villages. A senior Hezbollah commander has reportedly been killed. The United Nations says nearly 100,000 people have been forced to leave their homes in Lebanon. At the same time, tens of thousands of Syrian refugees living in Lebanon have fled back to Syria.
Moreover, the conflict appears to have spread even further. A drone attack allegedly from Iran has taken place in a country called Azerbaijan. This country shares one of its borders with Russia.
Azerbaijan is located at the boundary between Europe and Asia. This boundary between Europe and Asia also passes through Russia, which is why part of Russia is considered to be in Europe while another part is in Asia.
Other countries that share borders with Azerbaijan are Georgia and Armenia. Together, these three countries are part of a region known as the CAUCASUS REGION.
The Caucasus region is a very strategic area between Europe and Asia. Many oil and gas pipelines pass through this region. Therefore heavy fighting in this area could disrupt energy supplies and push global oil prices even higher than they already are.
What has happened is that, the government of Azerbaijan accuses Iran of launching a drone attack, hitting an airport and a nearby village on Azerbaijan soil. Iran completely denies this. It says Israel may have staged the attack in order to damage relations between Iran and Azerbaijan.
However there has already been tension between the two countries for many years. Azerbaijan has a close relationship with Israel and buys many Israeli weapons and drones. Iran believes that Israel’s intelligence agency, (Mossad), sometimes uses Azerbaijani territory to carry out operations against Iran, such as spying or attacks on Iranian targets. Iran sees this as a serious security threat.
As I said in my previous article, no country wants to be neighbors with a friend of its enemy. That is one of the reasons Russia does not want Ukraine to become closely aligned with the United States or to join NATO.
Azerbaijan is not considered part of the Middle East. This is concerning because should this trend continue, it would mean the conflict is spreading beyond the Middle East and moving into other regions.
Trump has said there is no clear end date for the conflict. The United States says it wants Iran’s missile program, naval power, and nuclear activities removed before serious negotiations can begin.
For now, there is no ceasefire. Airstrikes continue. More people are dying. Prices are rising. And the effects of this war are being felt across the world.